MR. GREGORY:
We are back and joined now by the governor of
Massachusetts
,
Deval Patrick
; former
Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich
; Mayor
Mike Bloomberg
of
New York City
, of course; and chief
foreign affairs
correspondent, our own
Andrea Mitchell
of
NBC News
.
Happy new year to everybody.
Happy holidays
.
GOV. DEVAL PATRICK (D-MA):
Happy holidays
to you.
MS. ANDREA MITCHELL:
And to you.
MR. GREGORY:
This is a special discussion, a chance to talk about
America
, the next decade, and where the
country
is, where we're headed. But let's talk about where we are right now, which is that this
country
, because of the
Obama
administration, is on the brink of achieving pretty sweeping
healthcare reform
.
Governor
Patrick
, as an ally of this
White House
and a governor yourself, what do you think the president has achieved here?
GOV. PATRICK:
Well, you know, it's very familiar to us, because it's, it's very much framed around an experiment that we've had under way in
Massachusetts
now for three years. And there are 97.5 percent of our population now covered with affordable, accessible
health care
. We still have to get the cough --
cost curve
bent, and we've started down that path with a payment reform, moving away from fee for service to fee for outcome,
quality control
and so forth. But I think this is huge, and I think it does reflect this notion that, that health is a public good and good for us as
Americans
.
MR. GREGORY:
Newt Gingrich
, there's no Republican support...
FMR. REP. NEWT GINGRICH (R-GA):
Right.
MR. GREGORY:
...for this
healthcare reform
.
REP. GINGRICH:
None.
MR. GREGORY:
Why not?
REP. GINGRICH:
And not much support in the
country
at large. Well, you've got $513 billion in tax increases, $470 billion in
Medicare
cuts. You have a scale of, I think, bribery in the
Senate
we have not seen in our lifetime, with various senators getting all sorts of special deals in a way that I think the public is just appalled by. I suspect every Republican running in '10 and again in '12 will run on an absolute pledge to repeal this bill. The bill -- most of the bill does not go into effect until '13 or '14, except on the tax increase side; and therefore, I think there won't be any great constituency for it. And I think it'll be a major campaign theme. This is a bad bill, written in a horrible way, and the most, the most corrupt legislation I've seen in my lifetime.
MR. GREGORY:
Andrea Mitchell
, the, the politics of this are, are fascinating. You've heard from the window of
Ted Kennedy
, Senator
Kennedy
,
Vicki Kennedy
, saying this is a bill he would support. Thirty million
Americans
will be covered here. There will be major insurance reforms. And yet, as Speaker
Gingrich
points out, there are moderate
Democrats
who know they are going to be in a tough spot politically for supporting this bill when you get to a midterm election next year.
MS. MITCHELL:
I think the politics are going to be very, very tough for a lot of
Democrats
, because the benefits are down the road. No matter how it becomes compromised in the long run, the benefits will be
2013
,
2014
, most of the perceivable benefits. And the
costs
are up front. Now, I think that that, that the
White House
has to frame this as expansion of coverage, 31 million more
Americans
.
MR. GREGORY:
Mm-hmm.
MS. MITCHELL:
And eliminating those insurance burdens. The, the lack of access to insurance coverage for children with pre-existing conditions, that's what they have to focus on. But if you look in the nitty-gritty of this bill, the unintended consequences and the fact that no one can really guarantee those cost benefits. What the
CBO
has done in its projections is assume...
MR. GREGORY:
Congressional Budget Office
, they sort of score all of this.
MS. MITCHELL:
Congressional Budget Office
scored this by assuming...
MR. GREGORY:
Right.
MS. MITCHELL:
...all of the improvements that are written into the bill. But those have to first be worked out in the
real world
.
MR. GREGORY:
Well, let, let's talk about the
status quo
,
Mayor Bloomberg
. Something you've thought a lot about is how much do we spend on individuals in this
country
for
health care
, and what's the result on the other side? What's
life expectancy
? And let's just put these numbers up here, because they're pretty striking. The
United States
spends more than most other countries, by a whole lot, $7200-plus per individual. And yet, the
life expectancy
is 78, far younger than countries that spend far less per person.
MAYOR MICHAEL BLOOMBERG (I):
Well, we're unwilling to ask the question, what we're getting for our money? And I think both sides of that graph you just showed really talk about it. We are spending more than we can afford. We will go bankrupt if we keep increasing medical
costs
at the rate we've been doing it. And
life expectancy
, arguably the primary purpose of government is to increase
life expectancy
, and we are not doing that. Instead, we talk about other things, some laudable, some desperately that we have to do. And I will say, I've given the president a lot of credit for taking on the issue; but it's
Congress
that's writing this legislation, and they are not willing to go near the things that will contain
costs
, which is
immigration reform
,
tort reform
, asking the question of whether or not we can afford certain tests and whether they really are cost beneficial. And we are not willing to work on the preventive things, fighting obesity, smoking, those kinds of things, or crime in the streets, which is another big influence on our
life expectancy
. But we're just not willing to talk those tough issues.
MR. GREGORY:
Governor
Patrick
, what are the hard choices that government is going to have to make in order to really reform
health care
?
GOV. PATRICK:
Yes.
MR. GREGORY:
Not just healthcare insurance.
GOV. PATRICK:
Right. Yeah.
MR. GREGORY:
Which is to say, to really bend that
cost curve
, which is really not anticipated here in the first 10 years of this new bill. We are going to cover so many more people, which, which a lot of people think is a moral responsibility of government.
GOV. PATRICK:
Yes. Yes.
MR. GREGORY:
But how do we actually make hard choices?
GOV. PATRICK:
Well, I think, I think the mayor is on to some of these points already. The chronic illnesses that, that are responsible for 70 or 80 percent of, of healthcare
costs
, and how the -- how health is managed, not just the management of
health insurance
. I think the whole question of fee for service, which is a tradition in our
healthcare system
for, for decades and decades, where we pay for the amount of service and those 15-minute visits rather than healthy outcomes and a medical home is a, I think, the jargon that's now being, now being used. There are issues around the number of tests, very sensitive choices that individuals and families, and expectations that we all have about our ability to get any test for anything in the best hospital in world -- in the world at any time we want.
REP. GINGRICH:
Here's the great tragedy. The greatest
health systems
in the
United States
are cheaper than bad
health care
. The fact is, the
Mayo Clinic
, in its cost restructure, or if you go to the, the
Gundersen Lutheran Hospital
in
La Crosse
,
Wisconsin
, which is a similar system,
Marshfield Clinic
, all in the
upper Midwest
, we know how to have better health outcomes at lower
costs
.
MR. GREGORY:
The, the...
REP. GINGRICH:
But, but by the way, it's a fundamentally different approach than just -- than this fighting over insurance and
payment system
.
MAYOR BLOOMBERG:
You know, if you really want to object to something in this bill, number one, I have asked congressperson after congressperson, not one can explain to me what's in the bill, even in the
House
version. Certainly not in the other version. And so for them to vote on a bill that they don't understand whatsoever, really, you got to question how -- what kind of government we have. Number two, when they talk about bending the curve, as, as the governor said, bending the curve is a flimflam euphemism for increasing
costs
, but we're going to say we'll do it at slightly lower rate than we would have otherwise.
GOV. PATRICK:
That's not what I'm talking about.
MAYOR BLOOMBERG:
I understand that. But they are not talking about reducing
costs
, they're talking about chancing the first derivative.
MR. GREGORY:
Slowing it, right.
MAYOR BLOOMBERG:
Slowing the growth down. And when you look at where the cost savings are going to be, well, they're going to cut something out of
Medicare and Medicaid
. Now, anybody that runs for office will tell you, you don't do that.
MR. GREGORY:
Right.
MAYOR BLOOMBERG:
I mean, the
bottom line
is it's so politically explosive, it really would be a first time in the history of the world if they ever cut anything out of either of those two programs.
MR. GREGORY:
But, you know, Speaker
Gingrich
, your old -- your one-time nemesis
President Clinton
says
healthcare reform
becomes more popular after it gets passed; and therefore,
Republicans
, by not being on board at all in this process, could face some real political trouble ahead.
REP. GINGRICH:
Look, I, I think the more important this is, as the mayor said, the
country
faces real trouble. The
country
is going to face deficits it can't sustain, debt it can't fund, an economy that's noncompetitive and, and I think -- I believe everything we're doing right now will be fundamentally revisited. But, but I, I want to emphasize what the mayor said, because it's so important. When you start writing 2,000-page bills, you guarantee that no elected official knows what's in the legislation. It is a fundamentally flawed way of running this
country
. It's flawed in both parties. And I think part of why you're seeing the
tea party
movement and other behavior is, is that people are just angry about an irresponsible government imposing change that no elected official can understand.
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