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‘Survivor Gabon’ winner? What about Bob?


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Image: Survivor Gabon
Meet the ‘Survivor: Gabon’ cast
A look at the 18 contestants that will vie for the $1 million prize this season
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Kenny
Chances of winning:
Lower than he thinks.

Professional video game champion Ken has played an interesting game, even if he hasn't exactly outwitted everyone else. While he has strategized and made some smart moves, his actions haven't quite matched his arrogance and cockiness about his game play. He continually declares himself to be a brilliant strategist, even when he's joining someone else's strategy or not doing something all that spectacular.

Still, he remains the biggest strategist in the game, but that's not saying much, since his strategy has consisted of lying to oust someone who irritated him (Charlie) and lying somewhat transparently about other people (Ace). His tribemates haven't been smart enough to stop trusting him even after learning he lied, though, so he marched on.

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He can probably make the best case for strategizing his way to the end, but considering that he has no allies left in the tribe, and the jury consists of most of his targets, "Survivor" will probably be one game he doesn't win.

Matty
Chances of winning:
Decreasing rapidly.

Physical trainer and surfer Matty isn't exactly weak, an underdog, or evil, but he's guilty by association of most of those, from his alliance to the time he spent on the original, constantly losing Fang tribe. Because of that, he never became a Marcus-like threat, at least until there were no more Marcuses left.

Matty seems like he should be a physical threat, and he generally is, he's just never been the target, at least until the last two Tribal Councils, because now, next to Bob, he's the person who can most likely win the remaining immunity challenges. That's why he was targeted by Bob, Corinne, and his former allies last week. Ken and Crystal went after him again this week, but he had both Sugar's real hidden immunity idol and only two votes anyway, so Matty lives on in the game.

However, he could join the jury before the final three unless he can win individual immunity, because he's now one of the biggest threats to win the whole thing.

Susie
Odds of winning:
If her screen time is any indication, zero.

Susie hasn't been much of a presence on the show this season. Sometimes, she's just not around, even when she's not at Exile. It's like the mother and hairdresser is under Harry Potter's invisibility cloak and reading a book.

Besides winning the first individual immunity challenge following the actual tribe merge, Susie hasn't done much by way of game play, besides voting with the dominant alliance every single time she's been to Tribal Council. Like Bob, she's managed to stay relatively clear of the strategizing, though.

She'll probably continue to just hang around until the final three, and then the only question will be whether the jury reward her for that, or realize that she's done far less than Sugar?

Andy Dehnart is a writer who publishes reality blurred, a daily summary of reality TV news. Find him on Facebook.
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