McCain, GOP face uphill battle

ANALYSIS

By Liz Sidoti

updated 9:55 p.m. ET March 4, 2008

WASHINGTON - John McCain's last-man-standing strategy prevailed. Now, onto the general election and the hurdles that come with it.

"It's an uphill battle. We have a tough fight ahead," the Republican nominee-in-waiting says of the next chapter of his presidential quest — and truer words may never have been spoken.

McCain clinched the nomination Tuesday, surpassing the requisite 1,191 GOP delegates as voters in Ohio, Vermont, Rhode Island and Texas put him over the threshold. Next up for the party and its new standard-bearer will be convincing a public craving change to keep a Republican in the White House in the midst of a drawn-out Iraq war and a sluggish economy.

That's a daunting task by any measure.

But several factors further complicate McCain's run.

Approaching age 72 this year, McCain would be the oldest president ever elected and is certain to face doubts and questions that come with that distinction. His offbeat humor and occasional temper can be grating to even those who know him best. And, his habit of breaking with the GOP to work with those across the aisle irks the conservative wing of the party that he'll need in the fall.

Conversely, the Democratic Party is highly energized and will have a history-making nominee — either the first female in Hillary Rodham Clinton or the first black in Barack Obama — calling for a new direction after eight years of Republican rule by the unpopular President Bush.

"With that scenario I'd have to withdraw my nomination," McCain joked to reporters recently on his campaign bus, laughing when one laid out the obstacles facing him and the party. "That scenario's so bleak!"

So it seems.

Becoming serious, McCain insisted he's undeterred.

"I, frankly, like where I am," he said. "I do not try to understate in any way the magnitude of the challenge we face. But I'm confident that we can present the choices in such a way that we can win."

Fundraising favors Democrats
The Arizona senator claims he can make a compelling argument to what he says continues to be a right-of-center country, despite GOP losses at all electoral levels in 2006 as well as a headwind — and fundraising — that overwhelmingly favors Democrats.

People, he says, will have a choice between a conservative Republican and a liberal Democrat _ a signal that the coming months will be framed primarily by ideology as he casts his Democratic rivals as big-government, soft-on-security liberals.

He frequently points to hypothetical head-to-head polls that show him in close contention — if not leading — Obama or Clinton across the country and claims that his long reputation as a Republican reformer during his 20-plus years in Washington can satisfy the public's call for change.

Maybe so.

But on a fundamental level, McCain simply being a Republican makes it difficult to argue that he can put the country on a different path — as polls show the public clearly wants — than the Republican president he would succeed and with whom he agrees on big-ticket issues such as Iraq and taxes.

Like Bush, he says troops should stay and the president's tax cuts should be made permanent.

Already, Democrats are casting him as a continuation of Bush's eight-year reign.

"I don't want ... four more years of George Bush and I think that's what John McCain offers us," says Howard Dean, the Democratic Party chairman.

McCain's expected elevation to GOP nominee — and upcoming difficult general election campaign _ is a remarkable conclusion to his rocky primary campaign.

After losing his first presidential bid to Bush eight years ago, McCain began his second campaign as the presumed front-runner for the GOP nomination — and sought early on to position himself as the anointed 2008 nominee in an extraordinarily crowded field.

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