Lessons of the Dream Act defeat
Senate vote reveals staying power of illegal immigration issue
![]() Susan Walsh / AP file Sen. Max Baucus, D-Mont., who is up for re-election next year, said people in his state were "outraged" over the immigration bill the Senate rejected Wednesday. |
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The vote to move ahead on the Dream Act (the Development, Relief, and Education for Alien Minors Act), got 52 votes, eight short of the 60 needed.
Among those voting against moving ahead with the bill were eight Democrats, even though Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid appealed to his majority to back him.
But this was yet another case when the Democratic majority was not a true working majority. Senate rules require a supermajority of 60 to advance most bills.
The vote was a significant leading indicator for 2008 of the potency of illegal immigration as an election issue.
Implications for 2008
Illegal immigration remains at a legislative impasse — and that may be a good thing for GOP chances since the party’s base in the South and West tends to be vehemently opposed to any accommodation with illegal immigrants.
In his post-vote assessment, the Dream Act’s chief sponsor, Senate Democratic Whip Dick Durbin of Illinois said, “In a campaign year, it is a very difficult issue. If it’s tough this year, it’s tougher next year.”
Some senators, he said, “are running scared” on the illegal immigrant issue.
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“Switchboards light up, the hates starts spewing, and people get concerned, to say the least,” Durbin told reporters.
Twelve Republicans joined most Democrats in voting to proceed.
Two of the Republican senators in competitive races next year, Sen. Norm Coleman of Minnesota and Susan Collins of Maine, voted to push ahead with the bill.
But two other GOP senators in tight races, John Sununu of New Hampshire and Gordon Smith of Oregon, voted against it.
People in Montana 'outraged'
Sen. Max Baucus of Montana — who is up for re-election next year — said the Dream Act was “huge, huge” as an issue on the minds of people in his state.
“People are very upset, they’re outraged; it’s like amnesty, it’s virtually the same” he said after casting his “no” vote.
Mail, phone calls, and e-mail on the issue pouring into his office were “off the wall,” Baucus said.
Most Montanans, he said, believed the bill would have given an unfair benefit to illegal immigrants.
Baucus’s freshman Democratic colleague from Montana Sen. Jon Tester also voted “no,” as did another freshman Democrat, Sen. Claire McCaskill of Missouri.
Southern Democrats Mary Landrieu of Louisiana, Mark Pryor of Arkansas and Robert Byrd of West Virginia all voted against the Dream Act.
Most analysts see Landrieu as the most endangered Senate Democrat up for re-election next year.
Pryor, too, is up for re-election in 2008.
Republican presidential contender Sen. John McCain of Arizona was absent for the vote, even though he’d been present for a vote just an hour earlier on the nomination of appeals court judge Leslie Southwick.
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