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Poll: Rhode Island

Senate: Sen. Lincoln Chafee (R) v. Sheldon Whitehouse (D)
Governor: Don Carcieri (R) v. Charlie Fogarty (D)

msnbc.com
updated 7:10 a.m. ET Nov. 5, 2006

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 31 through November 02, 2006.  A total of 625 registered Rhode Island voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.  

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. 

A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state.  Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled.  The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you recognize the name ______?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

DON CARCIERI

CHARLIE FOGARTY

LINCOLN CHAFFEE

SHELDON WHITEHOUSE

FAVORABLE

53%

39%

54%

45%

UNFAVORABLE

23%

20%

21%

35%

NEUTRAL

24%

41%

25%

20%

DON'T RECOGNIZE

1%

0.6%

0.2%

0.2%

If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, would you vote for:

FOGARTY

42%

CARCIERI

50%

UNDECIDED

8%

If the 2006 election for Rhode Island U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for:

WHITEHOUSE

45%

CHAFFEE

46%

UNDECIDED

9%

Will your vote for U.S. Senate mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE

63%

AGAINST OPPONENT

34%

NOT SURE

3%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE

14%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE

15%

15%

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE

12%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

58%

58%

NOT SURE

1%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?  Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?

STRONGLY APPROVE

0.8%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE

25%

25%

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE

21%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

49%

49%

NOT SURE

4%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for U.S. Senate this year:

IRAQ

32%

HEALTH CARE

16%

ECONOMY/JOBS

13%

TERRORISM/SECURITY

10%

TAXES/GOVT SPNDG

6%

MORAL/FAMILY

5%

IMMIGRATION

5%

GAS PRICE/ENERGY

0.6%

OTHER/DK

13%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION

31%

WRONG TRACK

64%

NOT SURE

6%

Do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq?  (Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE

10%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE

14%

14%

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE

15%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

59%

59%

NOT SURE

1%

In your view, did either of the candidates for U.S. Senate attack the other unfairly?

NO

28%

WHITEHOUSE DID

8%

CHAFFEE DID

9%

BOTH DID

44%

NOT SURE

11%

What is your current official party voter registration? Are you registered to vote as a:

DEMOCRAT

36%

REPUBLICAN

17%

INDEPENDENT

46%

Would you describe your personal political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative?

LIBERAL

27%

MODERATE

46%

CONSERVATIVE

25%

DK/REF

1%

What is your age?

18-34

14%

35-49

29%

50-64

32%

65+

25%

REF

0.3%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE

90%

BLACK

4%

HISPANIC

5%

OTHER

0.5%

REFUSED

0.3%

SEX:

MALE

49%

FEMALE

51%

REGION:

BRISTOL COUNTY

6%

KENT COUNTY

18%

NEWPORT COUNTY

9%

PROVIDENCE COUNTY

53%

WASHINGTON COUNTY

14%

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