Poll: Missouri

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from November 1 through November 3, 2006.  A total of 625 registered Missouri voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.  

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. 

A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state.  Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled.  The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you recognize the name ______?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

	JIM TALENT	CLAIRE MCCASKILL
FAVORABLE	42%	41%
UNFAVORABLE	31%	37%
NEUTRAL	25%	21%
DON'T RECOGNIZE	1%	0.50%

If the 2006 election for Missouri’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for:

MCCASKILL	46%
TALENT	45%
OTHER	2%
UNDECIDED	7%

Will your vote for U.S. Senate mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE	69%
AGAINST OPPONENT	28%
NOT SURE	3%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE	21%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE	23%	44%
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE	14%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE	41%	55%
NOT SURE	1%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?  Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?

STRONGLY APPROVE	1%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE	28%	29%
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE	24%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE	39%	62%
NOT SURE	9%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for U.S. Senate this year:

IRAQ	24%
MORAL/FAMILY	19%
ECONOMY/JOBS	13%
TERRORISM/SECURITY	13%
HEALTH CARE	12%
TAXES/GOVT SPNDG	7%
IMMIGRATION	5%
GAS PRICE/ENERGY	1%
OTHER/DK	7%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION	35%
WRONG TRACK	55%
NOT SURE	10%

Do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq?  (Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE	20%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE	19%	39%
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE	19%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE	41%	60%
NOT SURE	1%

In your view, did either of the candidates for U.S. Senate attack the other unfairly?

NO	16%
MCCASKILL DID	6%
TALENT DID	12%
BOTH DID	58%
NOT SURE	9%

In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican or an independent?

DEMOCRAT	36%
REPUBLICAN	35%
INDEPENDENT	29%

Would you describe your personal political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative?

LIBERAL	17%
MODERATE	41%
CONSERVATIVE	41%
DK/REF	1%

What is your age?

18-34	12%
35-49	28%
50-64	34%
65+	26%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE	89%
BLACK	10%
HISPANIC	0.20%
OTHER	0.60%
REFUSED	0.80%

SEX:

MALE	49%
FEMALE	51%

REGION:

ST LOUIS COUNTY	26%
ST LOUIS SUBURBS	11%
KANSAS CITY METRO	20%
NORTHERN MO	9%
CENTRAL MO	10%
SOUTHEAST MO	10%
SOUTHWEST MO	14%