Poll: Rhode Island

MSNBC - McClatchy Rhode Island Poll

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from September 25 through September 28, 2006. A total of 625 registered Rhode Island voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, would you vote for:

FOGARTY 34%

CARCIERI 50%

UNDECIDED 16%

If the 2006 election for Washington’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for:

WHITEHOUSE 42%

CHAFFEE 41%

UNDECIDED 17%

Will your vote for U.S. Senate mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE 80%

AGAINST OPPONENT 18%

NOT SURE 2%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 9%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 20% (29%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 15%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 55% (70%)

NOT SURE 1%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 3%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 20% (23%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 29%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 46% (75%)

NOT SURE 2%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for U.S. Senate this year:

IRAQ 29%

HEALTH CARE 18%

TERRORISM/SECURITY 14%

ECONOMY/JOBS 12%

IMMIGRATION 10%

TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 9%

OTHER/DK 5%

MORAL/FAMILY 1%

GAS PRICE/ENERGY 1%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 25%

WRONG TRACK 65%

NOT SURE 10%

Do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? (Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 10%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 15% (25%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 19%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 55% (74%)

NOT SURE 1%

What should the U.S. do in Iraq:

SEND MORE 15%

KEEP SAME 12%

WITHDRAW SOME 21%

WITHDRAW ALL 36%

NOT SURE 17%

How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? Are you:

VERY WORRIED 32%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 39% 71%

NOT TOO WORRIED 18%

NOT WORRIED 11% 29%

NOT SURE 0.3%

How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? Are you:

VERY WORRIED 22%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 50% 72%

NOT TOO WORRIED 20%

NOT WORRIED 8% 28%

NOT SURE 1%

Should illegal immigrants working in the United States be:

CHANCE TO STAY 55%

DEPORTED 39%

NOT SURE 6%

In general, which is better for the country?

SAME PARTY 38%

DIVIDED 47%

NOT SURE 15%

Demographics:

In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican or an independent?

DEMOCRAT 37%

REPUBLICAN 18%

INDEPENDENT 46%

Would you describe your personal political views as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative or very conservative?

VERY LIBERAL 7%

SOMEWHAT LIBERAL 19%

MODERATE 45%

SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE 25%

VERY CONSERVATIVE 3%

DK/REF 1%

What is your age?

18-34 14%

35-49 30%

50-64 32%

65+ 24%

REF 0.3%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE 90%

BLACK 4%

HISPANIC 5%

OTHER 1%

REFUSED 1%

SEX:

MALE 49%

FEMALE 51%

REGION:

BRISTOL COUNTY 6%

KENT COUNTY 18%

NEWPORT COUNTY 9%

PROVIDENCE COUNTY 53%

WASHINGTON COUNTY 14%