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Poll: Tennessee

Senate: Bob Corker (R) v. Harold Ford, Jr. (D)

Interactive
2006 key races
The races to watch.
msnbc.com
updated 7:20 a.m. ET Oct. 1, 2006

The Mason-Dixon Tennessee Poll was conducted for the Memphis Commercial Appeal and Chattanooga Times Free Press by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from September 25 through September 27, 2006. A total of 625 registered Tennessee voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men 306 (49%) Women 319 (51%)

Whites 527 (84%) Blacks 88 (14%) Other/Refused 10 (2%)

REGION

East Tennessee 230 interviews

Middle Tennessee 225 interviews

West Tennessee 170 interviews

PARTY

DEMOCRAT 34%

REPUBLICAN 38%

INDEPENDENT OR OTHER 28%

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

U.S. SENATE

RECOGNIZE FAVORABLE

RECOGNIZE UNFAVORABLE

RECOGNIZE NEUTRAL

DON'T RECOGNIZE

Harold Ford, Jr.

44%

30%

22%

4%

Bob Corker

38%

35%

24%

3%

If the 2006 election for Tennessee’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for:

SEX

REGION

PARTY ID

STATE

MEN

WOMEN

EAST

MIDDLE

WEST

DEM

REP

IND

FORD

43%

39%

47%

36%

43%

53%

88%

10%

33%

CORKER

42%

46%

38%

48%

41%

35%

4%

76%

43%

HAYWARD

1%

1%

1%

2%

-

-

1%

-

1%

LUGO

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

CHOATE

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

GATCHELL

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

KEPLINGER

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

UNDECIDED

14%

14%

14%

14%

16%

12%

7%

14%

23%

RACE

STATE

WHITES

BLACKS

FORD

43%

35%

91%

CORKER

42%

49%

3%

HAYWARD

1%

1%

-

LUGO

-

-

-

CHOATE

-

-

-

GATCHELL

-

-

-

KEPLINGER

-

-

-

UNDECIDED

14%

15%

6%

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