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Poll: Montana

Senate: Sen. Conrad Burns (R) v. Jon Tester (D)

Interactive
2006 key races
The races to watch.
MSNBC
updated 7:20 a.m. ET Oct. 1, 2006

The Mason-Dixon Montana Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. for the Lee Newspapers from September 26 through September 28, 2006. A total of 625 registered Montana voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All said that they vote regularly in Montana state elections.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a region or gender grouping.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

Men 310 (50%) Women 315 (50%)

REGION

Eastern Montana 55 interviews

Billings 125 interviews

Great Falls 105 interviews

Butte/Helena 160 interviews

Missoula/Kalispell 180 interviews

REGIONAL GROUPINGS

EASTERN MONTANA: Voters interviewed in Carter, Powder River,

Rosebud, Custer, Fallon, Prairie, Wibaux, Dawson, Garfield,

McCone, Richland, Roosevelt, Sheridan, Daniels, and Valley

Counties.

BILLINGS: Voters interviewed in Yellowstone, Treasure, Big

Horn, Carbon, Stillwater, Sweet Grass, Wheatland, Golden Valley,

Musselshell, Petroleum, and Fergus Counties.

GREAT FALLS: Voters interviewed in Cascade, Meagher, Judith

Basin, Teton, Chouteau, Phillips, Blaine, Hill, Liberty, Toole,

Pondera, and Glacier Counties.

BUTTE/HELENA: Voters interviewed in Lewis & Clark, Powell,

Broadwater, Jefferson, Silver Bow, Deer Lodge, Beaverhead,

Madison, Gallatin, and Park Counties.

MISSOULA/KALISPELL: Voters interviewed in Missoula, Granite,

Ravalli, Mineral, Sanders, Lake, Flathead, and Lincoln Counties.

STATEWIDE NAME RECOGNITION

Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

RECOGNIZE FAVORABLE

RECOGNIZE UNFAVORABLE

RECOGNIZE NEUTRAL

DON'T RECOGNIZE

Jon Tester

48%

26%

23%

3%

Conrad Burns

36%

45%

18%

1%

Stan Jones

4%

3%

31%

62%

If the 2006 election for Montana’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you for:

- Jon Tester, Democrat

- Conrad Burns, Republican

- Stan Jones, Libertarian Party

BURNS

TESTER

JONES

UNDECIDED

STATE

40%

47%

3%

10%

REGION

BURNS

TESTER

JONES

UNDECIDED

Eastern Montana

48%

43%

-

9%

Billings

45%

42%

1%

12%

Great Falls

39%

46%

4%

11%

Butte/Helena

31%

55%

3%

11%

Missoula/Kalispell

43%

46%

4%

7%

SEX

BURNS

TESTER

JONES

UNDECIDED

Men

45%

44%

4%

7%

Women

35%

50%

2%

13%

PARTY ID

BURNS

TESTER

JONES

UNDECIDED

Democrats

4%

89%

2%

5%

Republicans

79%

6%

2%

13%

Independents

28%

55%

4%

13%

© 2008 MSNBC Interactive

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