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Kiss Kiss, Dumb Dumb

A statistical look at the year in movies: the distribution conundrum

"The Squid and the Whale"
Did "The Squid and the Whale" come to a theater near you? Chances are good that it didn't.
Samuel Goldwyn Films
  Movie video
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Image: New Moon
  November movies
The “Twilight” sequel, “New Moon” hits the big screen, along with George Clooney in “The Men Who Stare at Goats” and “Fantastic Mr. Fox” and the apocalyptic “2012” and “The Road.”

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COMMENTARY
By Erik Lundegaard
msnbc.com contributor
updated 6:44 p.m. ET Jan. 16, 2006

Last spring while watching Stephen Chow’s “Kung Fu Hustle” I realized I was watching the future of movies. Not because of the masterful way Mr. Chow and his creative team blended martial arts, dance, comedy, cartoon violence and Quentin Tarantino cool. It was because I was alone in the 250-seat theater. One patron. Me. No one else bothered to show up.

Admittedly this was a Tuesday 5:20 showing; and “Kung Fu Hustle” is a foreign film, with subtitles, which is apparently too much work for most people. Still, it was an action-comedy with great reviews and great word-of-mouth.

At the time I didn’t mind and luxuriated in the experience. I even felt like a studio exec: “Roll it, Jim.” No mouth-breathers around me or popcorn crunchers or people who have to explain every freakin’ detail or people who need every freakin’ detail explained to them. Just me and the film. But if hell at the movies is often other people, true movie fans know that a more hellish experience awaits when other people stop showing up altogether, and movies stop existing in the form we know and love them: as adventures in the dark.

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The big picture (in select theaters)
That was the big story last year, wasn’t it? Many hands were wrung over 2005’s box office. Every week: down down down. Who could possibly bring the numbers back up? Adam Sandler? Orlando Bloom? Lindsay Lohan? Rob Schneider? The Rock? Every weapon in Hollywood’s mighty arsenal misfired. Customers could rightly say: Wait, you sell us a shallow product with characters and plots culled from TV shows and video games, and you show it in increasingly smaller spaces with increasingly overpriced snacks and increasingly obnoxious patrons who aren’t even policed by a teenager with a flashlight anymore, and you wonder why we’re not showing up? To which Hollywood execs could rightly reply: And? Worked before.

But I doubt Hollywood execs are wringing their hands much; they know the real money in Hollywood isn’t made at the box office anymore. So does anyone who has read Edward Jay Epstein’s book, “The Big Picture: The New Logic of Money and Power in Hollywood.” These days the real money comes from selling movies to TV (free and pay), and from DVD sales and rentals. In the future, in fact, “straight to video” may not be a pejorative term; it may be the norm.

Last year I concluded a statistical analysis of the movies with a wish for a “Bill James of the movies” — someone who could look beyond weekend box office and cull from the numbers the relevant and prescient. Epstein is a good candidate for the title.

But I began that column — in which I analyzed not only the movies’ numbers but, via the rottentomatoes Web site, their critical reception — with the hope of finding some correlation, somewhere, between quality and popularity. (For those who don’t know: rottentomatoes.com gathers reviews from around the country and informs us what percentage of reviews are positive. If 60 percent or more are positive, the movie is considered “fresh”; if fewer than 60 percent, it’s considered “rotten.”)

That’s the big drag about being a movie critic. Fridays you and your fellow critics may slam a picture but Mondays you have to read the box office numbers. “Are We There Yet?” Number one. “Hide and Seek”? Number one. “The Pacifier”? “Guess Who”? “Fantastic Four”? No one listens.

It’s not just that shallow is popular — we all learned that lesson in high school — it’s that the entire system is ass-backwards. The best films hardly play at all while the worst play everywhere. The widest release for “The Squid and the Whale” (94 percent) has been 151 theaters. Meanwhile something called “The Cave” (14 percent) opened in late August in 2,195 theaters. It disappeared after 37 days with 15 million of our dollars. Someone call the cops.

Last year 17 films were “super-rotten” (a 10 percent or less rating from rottentomatoes), while 13 were “super-fresh” (90 percent or better). Of the super-rotten films, 15 of the 17 earned a wide release (1,000 or more theaters), while only three of the 13 super-fresh films went wide.

Sony best embodies this schizophrenia. Its main division heaped the following onto our plates in 2005:

Meanwhile its boutique division, Sony Classics, offered us only nibbles of the following:

It almost feels like there’s a direct, taunting correlation between excellence and the opportunity to view it. Oh, you guys like this movie? Well, then we’re not going to show it.

Kiss kiss, dumb dumb
"Kiss Kiss, Bang Bang"
John Bramley / Warner Bros. Via
Did the sharp, funny "Kiss Kiss, Bang Bang" show in your town?

Certain numbers jump out at you: $225 million, for example. That’s how much “Howl’s Moving Castle,” Hayao Miyazaki’s latest animated film, made outside of the U.S. The rest of the world loved it. Critics here loved it (84 percent). So why was its widest domestic release only 202 theaters? Are U.S. moviegoers really that xenophobic or does Buena Vista only think they are? Or is it something else?

And what was Warner Bros. smoking on October 25? They distributed two new movies that day: “North Country” in 2,555 theaters and “Kiss Kiss, Bang Bang” in eight. Eight! Most prestige pictures like “North Country” open in a few select theaters, and, if logic dictates, go wide later. Warner Bros. couldn’t wait. They decided everyone needed to see a somber film about sexual harassment in a 1980s Minnesota mining town (71 percent on rottentomatoes) and no one wanted to see a funny, sexy, original noir set in modern-day L.A. (84 percent). Audiences rewarded them with a per-screen take of $2,500 for “North Country” and $22,600 for “Kiss Kiss, Bang Bang.” To this day the widest “Kiss Kiss, Bang Bang” has gone is 226 theaters. Along with “Squid” and “Thumbsucker,” it’s the most underrated, underseen movie of the year.

So was Warners worried over Val Kilmer’s gay detective? Was that the problem? Are U.S. moviegoers really that homophobic or does Warners only think they are? Or is it something else?

I have no answers, of course. We’re all just guessing, but the above guesses don’t look very educated to me.


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